Showing 1 - 10 of 68
We study how heterogeneous beliefs affect returns and examine whether heterogeneous beliefs are a priced factor in traditional asset pricing models. To accomplish this task, we suggest new empirical measures based on the disagreement among analysts about expected (short-term and long-term)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005342284
preferences of future trading counter-parties causes randomness in future resale prices that we call liquidity risk. It is natural … to suppose that investors are asymmetrically informed about liquidity risk. Through a process of liquidity discovery … liquidity is a forward-looking predictor of future liquidity risk and, as such, is priced. Liquidity discovery provides an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005130211
market. A simple pricing kernel based on the aggregate value of MBS securities prices risk in the MBS market. The evidence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005130216
) roots both at the zero (long-run) and at the cyclical frequencies. We examine the following series: inflation, real risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063571
information because information reduces risk. By lowering risk, information raises the asset's price. Transitions between low …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063589
We develop a simple analytical model that highlights the effect of factor rigidities and credit constraints on bankruptcies. In our model, entrepreneurs receive random shocks –positive or negative-- to their working capital, which is needed to pay workers before the output of the firm is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005328875
This paper shows that systemic risk exerts a significant impact on the behavior of depositors, sometimes overshadowing … their responses to standard bank fundamentals. Systemic risk can affect market discipline both regardless of and through … problems. Second, systemic shocks can lead to a future deterioration of fundamentals and affect the exposure to systemic risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005328877
The paper applies a popular methodology of competing risks to the analysis of the timing and interaction between the Deutsche Mark/U.S. dollar transactions, quotes, and cancellations in the Reuters D2000-2 electronic brokerage system. Consistently with previous stock market studies, the bid-ask...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005342260
This paper examines whether permanent earnings growth, crucial to stock valuation, increased during the last decade as suggested by proponents of the 'New Economy.' Using S\&P 500 earnings for 1951-2000, we do not find strong evidence of either a one-time structural break or gradual change....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005342317
This paper develops a new covariance-based test of orthogonality that may be attractive when regressors have roots close or equal to unity. In this case standard regression-based orthogonality tests can suffer from (i) size distortions and (ii) uncertainty regarding the appropriate model in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005342319