Empirical evidence shows that macroeconomic fundamentals have little explana-tory power for nominal exchange rates. On the other hand, the recent “microstruc-ture approach to exchange rates” has shown that most exchange rate volatility at short to medium horizons is related to order flows....

We develop an equilibrium model in which exchange rates, stock prices and capital flows are jointly determined under incomplete forex risk trading. Incomplete hedging of forex risk, documented for U.S. global mutual funds, has three important implications: 1) exchange rates are almost as...

By fixing the exchange rate, a country rules out the possibility of using the exchange rate to adjust to aggregate demand shocks. But adjustment may be enhanced if internal prices are more flexible. This paper asks whether this increase in price flexibility is likely to take place endogenously...

ABSTRACT This study re-examines the exchange rate-monetary fundamentals link with in a panel data framework. Pure time series and pooled time series-based tests fail to find empirical support for monetary exchange rate models (Sarantis (1994) and Groen (2000)). Using recently developed Panel...

Evidence suggests that developing countries are more concerned with stabilizing the nominal exchange rate than developed countries. Some papers show not only that nominal exchange rates are less volatile, but also that international reserves and domestic interest rates are significantly more...

This paper presents a dynamic model for a small open economy with imperfect financial market. It provides a framework to analyze the role of credit constraints and debt denomination in the generation and amplification of macroeconomic instability in an open economy context. As in Bernanke and...

This paper uses the open economy structural VAR model developed in Buckle, Kim, Kirkham, McLellan and Sharma (2002) to evaluate the impact of monetary policy on New Zealand business cycles and inflation variability and the output/inflation variability trade-off. The model includes a...

In this paper, we examine whether industry-level forecasts of CPI and PPI inflation can be improved using the ``exchange rate pass-through" effect, that is, when one accounts for the variability of the exchange rate and import prices. An exchange rate depreciation leading to a higher level of...

This paper investigates how government debt affects exchange rate behavior. In a two-country general-equilibrium setting, it shows that the exchange rate is directly related to the effective price of public debt. Changes in the present value of the stream of future surpluses alter the expected...