Showing 1 - 10 of 62
standard Diamond-Dybvig agent in the sense that they are uncertain about their liquidity needs at the time they deposit their … endowments in banks. Foreign agents, on the other hand, know their liquidity preference at the time they are born. This paper …-term capital flows in, a moral hazard problem emerges, where foreigners exploit the bank's service of liquidity provision at the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005328911
in a liquid storage technology or in a partially illiquid Cobb Douglas technology. By pooling liquidity risk, banks play …How do the liquidity functions of banks affect investment and growth at different stages of economic development? How … issues using an overlapping generations growth model where agents, who experience idiosyncratic liquidity shocks, can invest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005702659
Decision theorists claim that an ordinal measure of risk may be sufficient for an agent to make a rational choice under … uncertainty. We propose a measure of financial risk, namely the Varying Cross-sectional Risk (VCR), that is based on a ranking of … mean trading returns and accurate estimation of the Value-at-Risk. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005328940
This paper considers the parametric inference of a wide range of structural econometric models. The class of models considered includes those with parameter-dependent support and those derived from game-theoretic models. Inference of those models has raised some important econometric issues....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005328964
Using more than two years of daily interest rate cap price data, this paper provides a systematic documentation of a volatility smile in cap prices. We find that Black (1976) implied volatilities exhibit an asymmetric smile (sometimes called a sneer) with a stronger skew for in-the-money caps...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005328999
This paper considers tests of misspecification in a heteroscedastic transformation model. We derive Lagrange multiplier (LM) statistics for (i) testing functional form and heteroscedasticity jointly, (ii) testing functional form in the presence of heteroscedasticity, and (iii) testing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005342139
Bootstrap aggregating or Bagging, introduced by Breiman (1996a), has been proved to be effective to improve on unstable forecast. Theoretical and empirical works using classification, regression trees, variable selection in linear and non-linear regression have shown that bagging can generate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005342326
The paper examines the processes underlying economic fluctuations by investigating the volatility moderation of U.S. economy in the early 1980's. We decompose the volatility decline using a dynamic factor framework into a common stochastic trend, common transitory component and idiosyncratic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005130191
We revisit the concept of unpredictability to explore its implications for forecasting strategies in a non-stationary world subject to structural breaks, where model and mechanism differ. Six aspects of the role of unpredictability are distinguished, compounding the four additional mistakes most...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063638
In this paper we consider different periodic extensions of regression models with autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average disturbances for the analysis of daily spot prices of electricity. We show that day-of-the-week periodicity and long memory are important determinants for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063668