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The strong consumption growth in a period of falling stock market and a moderate recession in the U.S. has sparked off … a debate about the role of housing wealth as one of the determinants of consumption. The literature is divided over the … issue whether the effect of change in the financial wealth on consumption is lower than the change in housing wealth. In …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005702625
crucial role in determining the optimal forecasts on the change of consumption. In particular, the effect of a current … being the perceived likelihoods of respective states. Also, past innovations may affect consumption when there is a revision … existing model. Our empirical study shows that, while the CD model can characterize the U.S. consumption data well, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005702754
We study empirically how close consumption-smoothing models employing present-value relationships fit data for Latin …-Test results for OLS estimates are consistent with consumption smoothing, while GLS are not. However, this last result contradicts … previous literature on this issue, which have found that Latin-American countries conform to consumption-smoothing models, with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005129765
features of a model, such as cointegration, can improve policy analysis as it can improve estimation, inference and forecast … features of the VAR model. The features considered are cointegration, exogeneity, deterministic processes and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063701
parameters and analysis of cointegration. We amalgamate the Bayesian methods of Kleibergen and Paap (2002) for analysis of … cointegration in the ECM, and the Bayesian methods of Waggoner and Zha (2003) for estimating the structural parameters in BSVAR into …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063745
the cointegration regression estimation by Engle and Granger (1987). In recent years applied econometricians are debating …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005342144
Macroeconomic or financial data are often modelled with cointegration and GARCH. Noticeable examples include those …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063680
Macroeconomic or financial data are often modelled with cointegration and GARCH. Noticeable examples include those …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063718
This paper analyzes nonlinear cointegrating regressions as have been recently analyzed in a paper by Park and Phillips in Econometrica. I analyze the consequences of removing Park and Phillips' exogeneity assumption, which for the special case of a linear model would imply the asymptotic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005699677
This paper examines empirical issues on asymmetric effects of government spending. Increases in government spending under low real interest rates are not associated with the same increases in future tax liabilities as those under high real interest rates. Consequently, the negative impact from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005342311