One of the key inputs for inflation targeting regime is the right identification of inflationary or disinflationary pressures. These pressures are usually approximated by the output gap. In this paper we provide an estimation of the Peruvian output gap using a multivariate unobserved component...

Extending recent theoretical contributions on sources of inflation inertia, we argue that monetary uncertainty accounts for sluggish expectations adjustment to nominal disturbances. Estimating a model in which rational individuals learn over time about shifts in U.S. monetary policy and the...

The main goal of this paper is to tackle the empirical issues of the real exchange rate litterature by applying recently developed panel cointegration techniques to a structural long-run real exchange rate equation. We consider here a sample of 45 developing countries, divided into three groups...

This paper extends the linear lasso estimators to non-linear case. We are especially interested in GMM type of Lasso estimators. Lasso estimators are generalization of ridge regression in least squares. With this setup we can deal with identification problem introduced by weak instruments. When...

In examining the likely consequences of nonsense relationship, Granger and Newbold (1974) made it clear that the differencing is not the universal sure solution to the problem of spurious regression models. This has prompted the discovery of the cointegration regression estimation by Engle and...

The use of the Beveridge Nelson decomposition in macroeconomic analysis involves the truncation and estimation of infinite weighted sums of random variables, whereas the single source of error (SSE) state space approach provides a simple and effective framework that leads to exactly the same...

In many countries we observe a gap between macroeconomic and microeconomic statistics. In order to explain the underreporting observed in microeconomic statistics, the present paper tests the misreporting hypothesis through the double hurdle model. The misreporting hypothesis is based on some...

Abstract In many areas of economic analysis, economic theory restricts the shape as well as other characteristics of functions used to represent economic constructs. Obvious examples are the monotonicity and curvature conditions that apply to utility, profit, and cost functions. Commonly, these...

The paper applies methods of functional data analysis – functional auto-regression, principal components and canonical correlations – to the study of the dynamics of interest rate curve. In addition, it introduces a novel statistical tool based on the singular value decomposition...

This paper examines empirical issues on asymmetric effects of government spending. Increases in government spending under low real interest rates are not associated with the same increases in future tax liabilities as those under high real interest rates. Consequently, the negative impact from...