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Extending recent theoretical contributions on sources of inflation inertia, we argue that monetary uncertainty accounts for sluggish expectations adjustment to nominal disturbances. Estimating a model in which rational individuals learn over time about shifts in U.S. monetary policy and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005702768
This paper presents a generalized two-step maximum likelihood estimation method for partially identified vector autoregressive models. We suggest a likelihood ratio test for over-identification in a sub-system and derive the asymptotics for impulse responses and forecast-error variance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005702745
Using a nonlinear structural VAR approach, we estimate the effects of exogenous monetary policy shocks in the presence of a zero lower bound constraint on nominal interest rates and examine the impact of such a constraint on the effectiveness of counter-cyclical monetary policies based on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063754
This paper surveys the economic literature on simple policy rules and analyzes econometric methods used to estimate them, emphasizing effects of model misspecification. We draw attention to inconsistencies in evaluation of the rules and implications for policy advice, which is commonly done...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005699589
, depending on the source of the shock, it is optimal to stabilize either the price of the tradable goods or the nontradable goods …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005699636
This paper examines the welfare implications of managing Q with inflation targeting by monetary authorities who have to "learn" the laws of motion for both inflation and the rate of growth of Q. Our results show that the Central Bank can achieve great success in reducing the volatility of GDP...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005702704
In recent times, economists concur that economy's response to monetary policy is somewhat weaker then they were in the past. However, the cause of such change remains an open issue. One plausible reason for this change could be attributed to the financial reform processes that have brought...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005342178
Preliminary research at the Reserve Bank of New Zealand has suggested that including exchange rate stabilisation within the goals of monetary policy significantly increases the volatility of inflation, output and interest rates. The benefits of exchange rate stabilisation therefore do not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005342184
-monetary shocks. One exogenous shock that many economists believe contributes to the business cycle fluctuations that feed into the … Taylor rule is the technology shock. In an effort to identify the empirical effects of technology shocks, Gali (1999 … technology shock was a key first step in developing a unified reduced-form framework with which to examine the role that monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005342196
This paper surveys the postwar evolution of Bank of Japan (BOJ) monetary policy. Using both qualitative and quantitative data, we describe the changes in the money supply process in response to changing institutional constraints. We focus on the transition from quantitative to qualitative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005342362