Showing 1 - 10 of 137
The paper applies methods of functional data analysis – functional auto-regression, principal components and canonical correlations – to the study of the dynamics of interest rate curve. In addition, it introduces a novel statistical tool based on the singular value decomposition...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005342237
stochastic volatility, and (iii) the specification of the volatility process itself. We then consider a variety of model … movement and whether stochastic volatility comes from jump or diffusion. We find that, to capture the behavior of the S&P 500 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005699646
This paper examines empirical issues on asymmetric effects of government spending. Increases in government spending under low real interest rates are not associated with the same increases in future tax liabilities as those under high real interest rates. Consequently, the negative impact from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005342311
This paper proposes a new empirical representation of US inflation expectations in a Stace-Space Markov-Switching framework in order to identify the expectations regimes which are associated with short and long term Phillips curves. Results suggest that the dynamics of in‡ation expectation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005086423
-factor settings with latent variables that are readily interpreted as the conditional mean and volatility of the interest rate, and … perform illustrative calibrations for the yield curve. We select a three-factor specification featuring stochastic volatility ….S. short rate dynamics. The inclusion of the stochastic volatility factor is critical, whereas the stochastic mean offers a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063579
This article studies two extensions of the compound Poisson process with iid Gaussian innovations which are able to characterize important features of high frequency security prices. The first model explicitly accounts for the presence of the bid/ask spread encountered in price-driven markets....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063597
Macroeconomic or financial data are often modelled with cointegration and GARCH. Noticeable examples include those studies of price discovery, in which stock prices of the same underlying asset are cointegrated and they exhibit multivariate GARCH. Modifying the asymptotic theories developed in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063680
Macroeconomic or financial data are often modelled with cointegration and GARCH. Noticeable examples include those studies of price discovery, in which stock prices of the same underlying asset are cointegrated and they exhibit multivariate GARCH. Modifying the asymptotic theories developed in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063718
and curvature in the yield curve. We model the volatility dynamics in these yield factors using both GARCH and level … effects and find that both are needed to adequately model yield-factor volatility. The level effect is routinely used when … modeling volatility in short-term interest rates and we find that the level of the short-rate is useful in modeling the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005702565
This paper presents a generalized two-step maximum likelihood estimation method for partially identified vector autoregressive models. We suggest a likelihood ratio test for over-identification in a sub-system and derive the asymptotics for impulse responses and forecast-error variance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005702745