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Several studies incorporating estimated volatilities into option pricing formulas have appeared in the literature. However, the models described in these studies tend to perform quite poorly in out-of-sample tests. In particular, significant departures from the observed prices can be seen for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063606
We consider the behavior of the price of a continuously stored commodity, for which discounted price is a non-constant martingale, and thus not-predictable. We prove that the discounted price realization is within any given neighborhood of zero, with any given probability less than 1, beyond a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005699619
stochastic volatility, and (iii) the specification of the volatility process itself. We then consider a variety of model … movement and whether stochastic volatility comes from jump or diffusion. We find that, to capture the behavior of the S&P 500 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005699646
The aim of this work is to study the pricing problem for derivatives depending on two stocks driven by a bidimensional Lévy process. The main idea is to apply Girsanov's Theorem for Lévy processes, in order to reduce the posed problem to the pricing of a one Lévy driven stock in an auxiliary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005699662
-factor settings with latent variables that are readily interpreted as the conditional mean and volatility of the interest rate, and … perform illustrative calibrations for the yield curve. We select a three-factor specification featuring stochastic volatility ….S. short rate dynamics. The inclusion of the stochastic volatility factor is critical, whereas the stochastic mean offers a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063579
and curvature in the yield curve. We model the volatility dynamics in these yield factors using both GARCH and level … effects and find that both are needed to adequately model yield-factor volatility. The level effect is routinely used when … modeling volatility in short-term interest rates and we find that the level of the short-rate is useful in modeling the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005702565
In this paper we investigate portfolio coskewness using a quadratic market model as return generating process. It is shown that portfolios of small (large) firms have negative (positive) coskewness with market. An asset pricing model including coskewness is tested through the restrictions it...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005328981
This paper presents a generalized two-step maximum likelihood estimation method for partially identified vector autoregressive models. We suggest a likelihood ratio test for over-identification in a sub-system and derive the asymptotics for impulse responses and forecast-error variance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005702745
Portfolio managers use index futures for a variety of reasons. Regardless of their motivation, they will keep a close eye on the relation between the futures and their stock portfolio returns. Whenever this relation is perceived to have changed, the manager will decide whether it is worthwhile...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063636
It is generally argued that there is a link between commodity prices and stock levels and this paper provides a test of two economic models that attempt to explain commodity pricing, the stock-out model with two separate pricing states and the convenience yield model. Global stock levels are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005702563