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This paper characterizes episodes of real appreciations and depreciations for a sample of 85 countries, approximately from 1960 to 1998. First, the equilibrium real exchange rate series are constructed for each country using Goldfajn and Valdes (1999) methodology (cointegration with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063555
When a price limit regime exists for all of the stocks involved in an index, the index return is an aggregate of limited variables and thereby it is restricted to the same limits. We argue that neither a censored nor a truncated distribution model is appropriate for the aggregate return. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005342370
This paper develops a limiting theory for Wald tests of weak exogeneity in error correction models (ECMs). It is well …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005086413
A quadratic function is frequently used in regression to infer the existence of an extremum in a relationship. Examples abound in fields such as economics, epidemiology and environmental science. However, most applications provide no formal test of the extremum. Here we compare the Delta method...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063624
results are presented for both the estimation and testing procedures …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063634
. I also address the issue of where to split the sample into in-sample (estimation sample) and out-of-sample (testing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063641
statistics, like: necessity of a Kronecker covariance matrix for the canonical correlation rank statistic of Anderson (1951 … limiting distribution. In case of a Kronecker covariance matrix, the rank statistic simplifies to the canonical correlation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063654
the superiority in terms of size, power and break date estimation of the proposed method …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063667
Diba and Grossman (1988) and Hamilton and Whiteman (1985) recommended unit root tests for rational bubbles. They argued that if stock prices are not more explosive than dividends, then it can be concluded that rational bubbles are not present. Evans (1991) demonstrated that these tests will fail...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063669
-of-sample predictive accuracy. Of particular note, we improve on Bierens's (1990) test theory by considering vector conditional moments …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063692