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In this paper, we set out the JEM (Japanese Economic Model), a large macroeconomic model of the Japanese Economy. Although the JEM is a theoretical model designed with a view to overcoming the Lucas (1976) critique of traditional large macroeconomic models, it can also be used for both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005702717
A new model is developed that augments a structural VAR specification with a GARCH covariance matrix. The model is utilised to study time series dependencies between three size-sorted portfolios from the Australian Stock Exchange. Even after accounting for contemporaneous correlations the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063659
rank statistic. In the non-stationary cointegration case, the limiting distribution of the rank statistic is identical to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063654
This paper shows that the Mexican experience from 1945 to 2002 is, like the German hyperinflation period, a unique monetary ``natural experiment,'' where fundamental relationships, like money demand, PPP and the monetary model of exchange rate determination can be analyzed with unparalleled...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005328935
cointegration and error correction framework. Our findings suggest that any support for the deterrence hypothesis is sensitive to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005342164
This paper develops a limiting theory for Wald tests of weak exogeneity in error correction models (ECMs). It is well known that Wald statistics on cointegrated systems may involve nonstandard distribution and nuisance parameters, if $I(1)$ variables are not negligible in the statistics. To...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005086413
Macroeconomic or financial data are often modelled with cointegration and GARCH. Noticeable examples include those …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063680
features of a model, such as cointegration, can improve policy analysis as it can improve estimation, inference and forecast … features of the VAR model. The features considered are cointegration, exogeneity, deterministic processes and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063701
Macroeconomic or financial data are often modelled with cointegration and GARCH. Noticeable examples include those …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063718
parameters and analysis of cointegration. We amalgamate the Bayesian methods of Kleibergen and Paap (2002) for analysis of … cointegration in the ECM, and the Bayesian methods of Waggoner and Zha (2003) for estimating the structural parameters in BSVAR into …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063745