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We propose a general non-linear simultaneous equations framework for the econometric analysis of models of intervention in foreign exchange markets by central banks in response to deviations of exchange rates from possibly time-varying target levels. We consider efficient estimation of possibly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063625
Using the tick-by-tick yen/dollar exchange rate, this paper examines the effect of Japanese banking crisis in late 1997 on the foreign exchange market. By high-frequency methodology, GARCH estimation and variance-ratio tests, the existence of a structural break in the foreign exchange market at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005342336
This paper shows that the Mexican experience from 1945 to 2002 is, like the German hyperinflation period, a unique monetary ``natural experiment,'' where fundamental relationships, like money demand, PPP and the monetary model of exchange rate determination can be analyzed with unparalleled...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005328935
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010213203
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When univariate methods are applied to real exchange rates, point estimates of autoregressive coefficients typically imply very slow rates of mean reversion. Rogoff (1996) discusses that the remarkable consensus of 3-5 year half-lives of purchasing power parity (PPP) deviations is found among...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005086417
by economic theory. For this purpose, we would be employed Pedroni (1997) and Larsson et al (2001) panel cointegration …ABSTRACT This study re-examines the exchange rate-monetary fundamentals link with in a panel data framework. Pure time …) and Groen (2000)). Using recently developed Panel Data Techniques; we would test the exchange rates and monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005086422
This paper presents a model of exchange rate determination in which the forward premium anomaly emerges as the result of unanticipated central bank interventions in the foreign exchange market. Deviations from uncovered interest parity (UIP) therefore represent neither unexploited profit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005086435
This paper characterizes episodes of real appreciations and depreciations for a sample of 85 countries, approximately from 1960 to 1998. First, the equilibrium real exchange rate series are constructed for each country using Goldfajn and Valdes (1999) methodology (cointegration with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063555