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This paper shows that the Mexican experience from 1945 to 2002 is, like the German hyperinflation period, a unique monetary ``natural experiment,'' where fundamental relationships, like money demand, PPP and the monetary model of exchange rate determination can be analyzed with unparalleled...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005328935
Using the tick-by-tick yen/dollar exchange rate, this paper examines the effect of Japanese banking crisis in late 1997 on the foreign exchange market. By high-frequency methodology, GARCH estimation and variance-ratio tests, the existence of a structural break in the foreign exchange market at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005342336
We propose a general non-linear simultaneous equations framework for the econometric analysis of models of intervention in foreign exchange markets by central banks in response to deviations of exchange rates from possibly time-varying target levels. We consider efficient estimation of possibly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063625
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010213203
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000947003
Empirical evidence shows that macroeconomic fundamentals have little explana-tory power for nominal exchange rates. On the other hand, the recent “microstruc-ture approach to exchange rates” has shown that most exchange rate volatility at short to medium horizons is related to order flows....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005328945
We present a new class of general equilibrium model to study exchange rate dynamics. Our model synthesizes the new micro and macro approaches by incorporating the micro foundations of asset market trading into a dynamic, two country general equilibrium setting. We use the model to study how...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005328961
the data, and the point estimates are in line with the implications of our theory. Furthermore, the uncovered interest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005329015
We develop an equilibrium model in which exchange rates, stock prices and capital flows are jointly determined under incomplete forex risk trading. Incomplete hedging of forex risk, documented for U.S. global mutual funds, has three important implications: 1) exchange rates are almost as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005329018