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We propose a semi-parametric approach to investigate whether co-dependence across markets increase in periods of extreme returns. Given that returns on one market fall in the extreme tail of their own distribution, we compute the conditional probability that returns on another market will also...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005328895
processes are independent, providing a theoretical argument in favor of financial markets contagion. The foreign exchange market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005329015
currency crisis even in another unrelated country without capital linkage. Although the presence of contagion itself is not new …, it does not necessarily mean that it will never suffer contagion from some other country with better economic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005342330
currency crisis. The model proposes a new contagion channel and shows how a currency crisis can spread from one country to … distinguish between whether a crisis is a coincidence or due to contagion when it happens in two countries. It finds that the … better the economic fundamentals in the originating crisis country, the more severe the contagion under certain conditions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005342383
This paper develops concordance indices for studying the simultaneous occurrence of financial crises across markets and/or countries. The typically low incidence of financial crises necessitates a change in the definition of concordance from those recently developed for the business cycle...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063619
The existing literature promotes a number of alternative methods to test for the presence of contagion during financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063666
We examine Granger causality among the exchange rates of eight East Asian economies prior to the Asian crisis. We adopt as our general model Engle and Gau’s (1997) “official band†model, and use daily bilateral US dollar exchange rate data during January 1991-July 1997. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063758
The existing literature promotes a number of alternative methods to test for the presence of contagion during financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005702701
This paper proposes a model encompassing alternative views of contagion by highlighting the different channels of … channel of contagion. The possible stabilization effects of capital controls and Tobin tax on the international transmission …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005702724
application of wavelet filtering to analyze cointegrating relationships. No evidence of cointegration between money, real output … and prices is found. However, there is evidence of cointegration between non-stationary components of the series that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005328904