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Rainfall Forecasts, Weather and Wages over the Agricultural Production Cycle

Rosenzweig, Mark; Udry, Christopher - Economic Growth Center, Economics Department - 2014

We look at the effects of rainfall forecasts and realized rainfall on equilibrium agricultural wages over the course of … the agricultural production cycle. We show theoretically that a forecast of good weather can lower wages in the planting … stage, by lowering ex ante out-migration, and can exacerbate the negative impact of adverse weather on harvest-stage wages …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010908066

Child Labor

Udry, Christopher - Economic Growth Center, Economics Department - 2003

Child labor exists because it is the best response people can find in intolerable circumstances. Poverty and child labor are mutually reinforcing: because their parents are poor, children must work and not attend school, and then grow up poor. Child labor has two important special features....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005357750

Estimating the Production Function for Human Capital: Results from a Randomized Control Trial in Colombia

Meghir, Costas; Attanasio, Orazio; Cattan, Sarah; … - Economic Growth Center, Economics Department - 2015

We examine the channels through which a randomized early childhood intervention in Colombia led to significant gains in cognitive and socio-emotional skills among a sample of disadvantaged children. We estimate production functions for cognitive and socio-emotional skills as a function of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011169772

A Two-Tiered Demographic System: "Insiders" and "Outsiders" in Three Swabian Communities, 1558-1914

Guinnane, Timothy W.; Ogilvie, Sheilagh C. - Economic Growth Center, Economics Department - 2013

This paper presents first results from a project to reconstitute the demographic behavior of three villages in Württemberg (southern Germany) from the mid-sixteenth to the early twentieth century. Using high-quality registers of births, deaths, and marriages, and unusual ancillary sources, we...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010877999

Incentives that saved lives: Government regulation of accident insurance associations in Germany, 1884-1914

Guinnane, Timothy W.; Streb, Jochen - Economic Growth Center, Economics Department - 2012

The German government introduced compulsory accident insurance for industrial firms in 1884. This insurance scheme was one of the main pillars of Bismarck’s famous social insurance system. The accident-insurance system achieved only one of its intended goals: it successfully compensated...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010908073

Mortality in the North Dublin Union During the Great Famine

Guinnane, Timothy W.; Grada, Cormac O - Economic Growth Center, Economics Department - 2001

Responsibility for the tremendous excess mortality associated with the Great Irish Famine of 1846-51 is a continuing topic of debate. One view blames an inadequate government response for much of the tragedy. These debates are hampered by a lack of detailed information on how well relief efforts...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005357710

Social Class and the Fertility Transition: A Critical Comment on the Statistical Results Reported in Simon Szreter's Fertility, Class and Gender in Britain, 1860-1940

Barnes, Geoffrey; Guinnane, Timothy - Economic Growth Center, Economics Department - 2010

Simon Szreter’s book Fertility, Class, and Gender in Britain, 1860-1940 argues that social and economic class fails to explain the cross-sectional differences in marital fertility as reported in the 1911 census of England and Wales. Szreter’s conclusion made the book immediately influential,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008740056

Moral hazard in a mutual health-insurance system: German Knappschaften, 1867-1914

Guinnane, Timothy W.; Streb, Jochen - Economic Growth Center, Economics Department - 2009

This paper studies moral hazard in a sickness-insurance fund that provided the model for social-insurance schemes around the world. The German Knappschaften were formed in the medieval period to provide sickness, accident, and death benefits for miners. By the mid-nineteenth century,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008537312

Population and the Economy in Germany, 1800-1990.

Guinnane, T. - Economic Growth Center, Economics Department - 1998

Germany's turbulent history in the past two centuries has left its mark on her population. The industrialization of the nineteenth century promoted rapid population growth, and the spatial concentration of that industrialization provoked enormous internal migration. Germany's relatively late...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005487222

Institutions and Demographic Responses to Shocks: Württemberg, 1634-1870

Guinnane, Timothy; Ogilvie, Sheilagh - Economic Growth Center, Economics Department - 2008

Simple Malthusian models remain an important tool for understanding pre-modern demographic systems and their connection to the economy. But most recent literature has lost sight of the institutional context for demographic behavior that lay at the heart of Malthus’s own analysis. This paper...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005738348