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How detrimental is inflation to growth in South Africa? At what level? Motivated by the adoption of inflation targeting … by many countries, this paper sets out to empirically determine the threshold level of inflation in South Africa. This …. The results show that the inflation threshold level occurs at 4 percent. At inflation levels below and up to 4 percent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010549210
This paper develops a new index of economic uncertainty for South Africa for the period 1990-2014 and analyses the macroeconomic impact of changes in this measure. The index is constructed from three sources: (1) Disagreement among professional forecasters about macroeconomic conditions using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011204514
-side effect. We argue that it is crucial for monetary authorities to understand whether an increase in expected future inflation … is due to supply shocks or demand shocks before applying contractionary policy to forestall inflation. We estimate a … African economy to show that whether the South African Reserve Bank should apply contractionary policy to fight inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010538960
learning-by-doing externality breaks the ’divine coincidence’ result, that by stabilising inflation the output gap will … maker must consider the impact on future productivity of any trade-off between output and inflation today. The appropriate … inflation-output trade off is between inflation today and the present value of deviations in the output gap. The approach to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011165815
There is growing emphasis on the role played by the private sector in alleviating poverty in Africa. At the same time, greater focus is being placed on cash transfers as a poverty alleviation tool. This paper provides an economic rationale for private sector involvement in the provision of cash...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008563312
these tasks. As a result, aggregate inflation expectations of the public as a whole can be described as ‘stick' in that … the spread of information about inflation expectations through the economy is not instantaneous. A body of literature has … epidemiological models to provide insight into how the general public in South Africa forms its inflation expectations. This enables …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011133807
period information sets. In the literature the choice of proxies for the inflation expectations and output gap measures are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011133809
This paper reports a comparison of South African household inflation expectations and inflation credibility surveys … undertaken in 2006 and 2008. The objective is to test for possible feed-through between inflating credibility and inflation … difference between the survey results of 2006 and 2008 is that female and male respondents reported inflation expectations at the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008516083
In this paper we investigate the role of inflation rates in determining economic growth in fifteen sub-Saharan African … in all, we highlight not only the fact that inflation has offset the prospective Mundell-Tobin effect and consequently …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010734909
In this paper we investigate the role of inflation rates in determining economic growth in fifteen sub-Saharan African … in all, we highlight not only the fact that inflation has o¤set the prospective Mundell-Tobin effect and consequently …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010734912