Probabilistic business failure prediction models are commonly estimated from non-random samples of companies. The proportion of failure companies in such samples is often much larger than the proportion of failure companies in most real-world decision contexts. This so-called “choice-based...

We investigate a disaggregated version of the abnormal earnings growth (AEG) model of Ohlson and Juettner-Nauroth (2005). The value of the firm then becomes discounted free cash flows minus initial debt. Discounted free cash flows are equal to capitalized operating earnings from the initial...

In the abnormal earnings growth (AEG) model of Ohlson and Juettner-Nauroth (2005), there is one interest rate and no taxes. Their model focuses on bottom-line earnings and dividends and is hence viewed as an equity-level model. We first extend this model to a firm-level model based on operating...

The impact of conservative accounting in residual income valuation (RIV) and abnormal earnings growth (AEG) valuation modeling is investigated in this paper. Unconstrained and two types of constrained model specifications are evaluated regarding their ability to withstand biases in book values...