This paper provides a detailed examination of price responses in the Swedish gasoline market to changes in the world market price. We use daily price data from one of the leading retail chains together with input costs (spot market price and exchange rate)for the period January 1980 to December...

This paper examines the effect of using Black and Scholes formula for pricing and hedging options in a discrete time heteroskedastic environment. This is done by a simulation procedure where asset returns are generated from a GARCH (1,1)-t model. In the simulation a hypothetical trader writes an...

This paper reconsiders the equilibrium correction model of nondurable consumption in the UK by Davidson et al. (1978), denoted DHSY. The DHSY model fails outside the original observation period and several studies claim that this is due to neglected nonlinearities or time-varying parameters....

Nonlinearity, and regime-switching behavior in particular, and structural change have often been perceived as competing alternatives to linearity. In this paper we propose a model, based on the principle of smooth transition, that allows for regime-switching behavior in conjunction with...

In this paper we introduce a flexible target zone model that is capable of characterizing the dynamic behaviour of an exchange rate implied by the original target zone model of Krugman (1991) and its modifications. Our framework also enables the modeller to estimate an implicit target zone if it...

Many high frequency economic or financial time series display two empirical characteristics: high kurtosis and positive autocorrelation in the centred and squared observations. The first- order autocorrelation is typically low, and the autocorrelation function decays slowly. These series are...

In this paper we examine the forecast accuracy of linear autoregressive, smooth transition autoregressive (STAR), and neural network (NN) time series models for 47 monthly macroeconomic variables of the G7 economies. Unlike previous studies that typically consider multiple but fixed model...

This paper considers smooth transition regression models and their univariate counterparts, smooth transition autoregressive models. The model is defined and thereafter, linearity testing, statistical inference in smooth transition models, and areas of application are discussed. A bivariate...

In this paper two techniques, long memory and panel data models, are combined in order to increase the power of unit root tests. The power is shown to be always better against fractional alternatives and usually against autoregressive alternatives. The test is then used to reanalyze data sets...

In this paper we consider the fourth moment structure of a class of first-order Exponential GARCH models. This class contains as special cases both the standard Exponential GARCH model and the symmetric and asymmetric Logarithmic GARCH one. Conditions for the existence of any arbitrary moment...