Showing 1 - 10 of 29
This paper examines the macroeconomic aftermath of the 1992 breakdown of the European Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM). The economic performance of six leaver' nations is compared with five stayer' nations that maintained a roughly fixed parity with the Deutsche Mark. Recent writing about...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471843
In this paper we survey the historical record for over two centuries on the connection between expansionary fiscal policy and inflation. As a backdrop, we briefly lay out several theoretical approaches to the effects of fiscal deficits on inflation: the earlier Keynesian and monetarist...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482414
This paper estimates, using data from the United States and Euro Area, a two-country stochastic growth model in which both neutral and investment-specific technology shocks are nonstationary but cointegrated across economies. The results point to large and persistent swings in productivity, both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461976
income shock in the EU, compared to 32 per cent in the US. In the case of an unemployment shock 47 percent of the shock are … absorbed in the EU, compared to 34 per cent in the US. This cushioning of disposable income leads to a demand stabilization of … up to 30 per cent in the EU and up to 20 per cent in the US. There is large heterogeneity within the EU. Automatic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462382
The paper models the host country stylistically as a member of the core of an economic union (i.e., a core EU welfare …. The source country is modeled as an accession country to an economic union (i.e., through the EU enlargement treaty), with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462431
This paper addresses three issues related to the relative rates of growth in the United States, the European Union, and China during the four decades between 2000 and 2040. The first concerns the source of the factors which make it likely that China will continue to grow at a high rate for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462930
This paper shows that the EMU has not affected historical characteristics of member countries' business cycles and their cross-correlations. Member countries which had similar levels of GDP per-capita in the seventies have also experienced similar business cycles since then and no significant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464118
In this paper I analyze the nature of external adjustments in current account surplus countries. I ask whether a realignment of world growth rates -- with Japan and Europe growing faster, and the U.S. growing more slowly -- is likely to solve the current situation of global imbalances. The main...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465752
The ageing of the population presents a major fiscal challenge for the countries of Europe. The combination of increased longevity and a reduced birth rate will directly reduce the growth rates of the European economies by slowing the growth of the capital stock and by weakening the productivity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465924
among the EU 15 and EU 10 in the enlarged European Union, as of 2004. We also demonstrate that the notion that the mere …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466680