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In Turkey, as in other countries, the human and economic toll of the COVID-19 pandemic has been severe. Thousands of … sharp growth rebound-set Turkey apart from its peers. Rapid monetary and credit expansion and large liquidity support meant … that Turkey was among the few countries to experience positive economic growth in 2020. But these policies also aggravated …
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We develop a theoretical model that features a business cycle-dependent relation between out- put, price inflation and inflation expectations, augmenting the model by Svensson (1997) with a nonlinear Phillips curve that reflects the rationale underlying the capacity constraint theory (Macklem...
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Inflation in the euro area has been falling since mid-2013, turned negative at the end of 2014 and remained below target thereafter. This paper employs a Bayesian VAR to quantify the contribution of a set of structural shocks, identified by means of sign restrictions, to inflation and economic...
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The WAEMU has, so far, demonstrated strong resilience to the Covid crisis. The economic rebound that started in the second half of 2020 firmed up in 2021, while fiscal and monetary policies remained supportive. External reserves have risen to comfortable levels and the financial system appears...
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