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In this note, we consider the contradiction between the fact that the best fit for the UK consumption data in Davidson et al. (1978) is obtained using an equation with an intercept but without an error correction term, whereas the equation with error correction and without the intercept has...
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Properties of three well-known and frequently applied first-order models for modelling and forecasting volatility in … Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH), the Exponential GARCH and the Autoregressive Stochastic Volatility model. The focus is on … heteroskedasticity ; evaluation of volatility models ; exponential GARCH ; GARCH ; modelling return series ; stochastic volatility …
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; Dynamic conditional correlation ; Return comovement ; Volatility model evaluation …
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volatility/diffusion term is stochastic in the sense of being driven by a separate hidden Markov process. Within this framework … conditions for the existence of a finite dimensional Markovian realizations for the stochastic volatility models. We illustrate … the theory by analyzing a number of concrete examples. -- HJM models ; stochastic volatility ; factor models ; forward …
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