Showing 1 - 9 of 9
forecast, is an ordinary VAR model, also in annual differences. -- Seasonal cointegration ; forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001600047
This paper contains a forecasting exercise on 30 time series, ranging on several fields, from economy to ecology. The … in comparison to other more sophisticated ANN models. -- Neural networks ; forecasting ; nonlinear time series …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001645582
The concept of common factors has in the econometrics literature been applied to conditional means or in some cases to conditional variances. In this paper we generalize this concept to bivariate distributions. This is done using the conditional bivariate copula as the statistical tool. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001714617
In this paper we present a unit root test against a nonlinear dynamic heterogenous panel with each cross section modelled as an LSTAR model. All parameters are viewed as cross section specific. We allow for serially correlated residuals over time and heterogenous variance among cross sections....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002595402
In this paper we derive a unit root test against a Panel Logistic Smooth Transition Autoregressive (PLSTAR). The analysis is concentrated on the case where the time dimension is fixed and the cross section dimension tends to infinity. Under the null hypothesis of a unit root, we show that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002577852
This paper studies the effects of financial liberalization and banking crises on growth. It shows that financial liberalization spurs on average economic growth. Banking crises are harmful for growth, but to a lesser extent in countries with open financial systems and good institutions. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002380051
In this paper we show the consequences of applying a panel unit root test when testing for a purchasing power parity relationship. The distribution of the tests investigated, including the IPS test of Im et al (1997), are influenced by a common stochastic trend which is usually not accounted...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001600044
This paper considers the large sample behavior of the maximum likelihood estimator of random effects models with serial correlation in the form of AR(1) for the idiosyncratic or time-specific error component. Consistent estimation and asymptotic normality as N and/or T grows large is established...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001600056
This paper is concerned with maximum likelihood based inference in random effects models with serial correlation. Allowing for individual effects we introduce serial correlation of general form in the time effects as well as the idiosyncratic errors. A straightforward maximum likelihood...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001600058