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Changes in the seasonal patterns of macroeconomic time series may be due to the effects of business cycle fluctuations or to technological and institutional change or both. We examine the relative importance of these two sources of change in seasonality for quarterly industrial production series...
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We propose a seasonal cointegration model [SECM] for quarterly data which includes variables with different numbers of … forecast mean squared error criterion and certain parameter estimation results indicate that, in practice, a cointegration … forecast, is an ordinary VAR model, also in annual differences. -- Seasonal cointegration ; forecasting …
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In this note, we consider the contradiction between the fact that the best fit for the UK consumption data in Davidson et al. (1978) is obtained using an equation with an intercept but without an error correction term, whereas the equation with error correction and without the intercept has...
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This paper examines how investor and capital flows into mutual funds in the Swedish pension system are related to fund characteristics. Similarly to U.S. studies, we show that individuals chase past returns and have a strong preference for lower-fee funds. However, our results suggest that past...
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