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We develop a structural bond pricing approach and implement it on a large panel of US industrial bonds using an efficient maximum likelihood methodology. We evaluate the model's ability to predict yield spread levels and changes out-of-sample. Errors are smaller and distinctly less variable than...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001600071
In this paper we discuss the significant computational simplification that occurs when option pricing is approached through the change of numeraire technique. The original impetus was a recently published paper (Hoang, Powell, Shi 1999) on endowment options; in the present paper we extend these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001638113
volatility/diffusion term is stochastic in the sense of being driven by a separate hidden Markov process. Within this framework … conditions for the existence of a finite dimensional Markovian realizations for the stochastic volatility models. We illustrate … the theory by analyzing a number of concrete examples. -- HJM models ; stochastic volatility ; factor models ; forward …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001664233
correct and that the true theoretical price of the swap is in fact equal to zero. This result is shown to hold regardless of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001645586
Abel (2002) shows that pessimism and doubt in the subjective distribution of the growth rate of consumption reduce the riskfree rate puzzle and the equity premium puzzle. We quantify the amount of pessimism and doubt in survey data on US consumption and income. Individual forecasters are in fact...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001729353
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000958083
use the Lie algebra methodology of Björk et al. to investigate under what conditions on the volatility structure of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002450616
This paper analyzes how bond option prices are affected by different types of monetary policy. Analytical results from a general equilibrium model with sticky wages show that employment or output targeting typically give lower bond option prices than inflation targeting. -- inflation targeting ;...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001600072
since a volatility constraint on the stochastic discount factor is a particular case of a restriction on this distance. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001600073
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000959376