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Properties of three well-known and frequently applied first-order models for modelling and forecasting volatility in … Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH), the Exponential GARCH and the Autoregressive Stochastic Volatility model. The focus is on … heteroskedasticity ; evaluation of volatility models ; exponential GARCH ; GARCH ; modelling return series ; stochastic volatility …
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; Dynamic conditional correlation ; Return comovement ; Volatility model evaluation …
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; multivariate volatility model ; random coefficient model ; volatility forecasting …
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This paper studies the effects of financial liberalization and banking crises on growth. It shows that financial liberalization spurs on average economic growth. Banking crises are harmful for growth, but to a lesser extent in countries with open financial systems and good institutions. The...
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Abel (2002) shows that pessimism and doubt in the subjective distribution of the growth rate of consumption reduce the riskfree rate puzzle and the equity premium puzzle. We quantify the amount of pessimism and doubt in survey data on US consumption and income. Individual forecasters are in fact...
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