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Properties of three well-known and frequently applied first-order models for modelling and forecasting volatility in … Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH), the Exponential GARCH and the Autoregressive Stochastic Volatility model. The focus is on … heteroskedasticity ; evaluation of volatility models ; exponential GARCH ; GARCH ; modelling return series ; stochastic volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002199620
In this paper developments in the analysis of univariate nonlinear time series are considered. First a number of commonly used nonlinear models are presented. The next section is devoted to methods of testing linearity, which is an important part of nonlinear model building. Techniques of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002679532
This paper is concerned with efficient GMM estimation and inference in GARCH models. Sufficient conditions for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001600059
In this paper we derive tests for parameter constancy when the data generating process is non-stationary against the hypothesis that the parameters of the model change smoothly over time. To obtain the asymptotic distributions of the tests we generalize many theoretical results, as well as new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002570513
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000958392
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000947704
tests are also investigated by simulations. -- evalation of volatility models ; modelling volatility ; parameter constancy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002199638
This paper studies a class of Markov models which consist of two components. Typically, one of the components is observable and the other is unobservable or 'hidden'. Conditions under which (a form of) geometric ergodicity of the unobservable component is inherited by the joint process formed of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002465203
heteroskedasticity ; volatility dynamics …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001693116
This paper contains two novelties. First, a unified framework for testing and evaluating the adequacy of an estimated autoregressive conditional duration (ACD) model is presented. Second, two new classes of ACD models, the smooth transition ACD model and the time-varying ACD model, are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001959574