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we investigate the robustness of results from confidence interval estimation tasks with respect to a number of … large share of the overconfidence in interval estimation tasks is an artifact of the response format. Using frequencies and …
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, Int. J. Game Theory 18, 273-292), choice probabilities are related to the determination of leveling taxes. The set of t …
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Abel (2002) shows that pessimism and doubt in the subjective distribution of the growth rate of consumption reduce the riskfree rate puzzle and the equity premium puzzle. We quantify the amount of pessimism and doubt in survey data on US consumption and income. Individual forecasters are in fact...
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