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We discuss specification, frequency domain estimation and application of flexible fractionally integrated seasonal long memory time series models, which allow for 'chi-squared' (seasonal) unit root testing. We suggest periodogram regression and approximate ML estimation. We successfully apply a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004972223
-Theory- Two theories about trends in left-right political orientations are juxtaposed: the persistence theory claiming that left-right orientations are highly resistant to change versus the irrelevance theory anticipating a move of mass publics towards the center of the left-right continuum....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004972274
Two important empirical features of monthly US unemployment are that shocks to the series seem rather persistent and that unemployment seems to rise faster in recessions than that it falls during expansions. To jointly capture these features of long memory and nonlinearity, respectively, we put...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005505011
, coffee, cotton, orange juice, Kansas City wheat, rubber, and palm oil. The class of fractional GARCH models, namely the … FIGARCH model of Baillie et al. (1996), FIEGACH model of Bollerslev and Mikkelsen (1996), and FIAPARCH model of Tse (1998 …), are modelled and compared with the GARCH model of Bollerslev (1986), EGARCH model of Nelson (1991), and APARCH model of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008570627
Time series data affect many aspects of our lives. This paper highlights ten things we should all know about time series, namely: a good working knowledge of econometrics and statistics, an awareness of measurement errors, testing for zero frequency, seasonal and periodic unit roots, analysing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008484072
parsimony and robustness. APS is applied within a Bayesian analysis of a GARCH-mixture model which is used for the evaluation of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005051715
both the ARMA(1,1)-GARCH(1,1) and ARMA(3,2)-GJR(1,1) models are suitable for modelling ENSO volatility. Moreover, 1998 is a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005034225
The GARCH model and the Stochastic Volatility [SV] model are competing but non-nested models to describe unobserved … volatility in asset returns. We propose a GARCH model with an additional error term, which can capture SV model properties, and … which can be used to test GARCH against SV. We discuss model representation, parameter estimation and a simple test for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005696115
methods. The effects of several model characteristics (unit roots, GARCH, stochastic volatility, heavy tailed disturbance …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008570624
the GARCH(1,1), GJR(1,1) and EGARCH(1,1) models for Korean tourist arrivals to Taiwan and the Korean Won / New Taiwan …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008570643