We model a key step in the innovation process, hypothesis generation, as the making of predictions over a vast …, they use artificial intelligence (AI) instead. We model innovation as resulting from sequential search over a combinatorial … innovation outcomes of interest - the probability of innovation, expected search duration, and expected profit. We describe …

We perform an econometric investigation of the contribution of pharmaceutical innovation to mortality reduction and … pharmaceutical innovation, there would have been no increase and perhaps even a small decrease in mean age at death, and that new … drugs have increased life expectancy, and lifetime income, by about 0.75-1.0% per annum. The drug innovation measures are …

Innovation is often predicated on discovering useful new combinations of existing knowledge in highly complex knowledge …

I analyze the effects of four types of medical innovation and cancer incidence on U.S. cancer mortality rates during …Under the assumption that there were no pre-dated factors that drove both innovation and mortality and that there would … have been parallel trends in mortality in the absence of innovation, the estimates indicate that there were three major …

The development prospects of a poor country depend in part on its capacity for innovation. The productivity of its …

We examine the impact of pharmaceutical innovation on the longevity of Australians during the period 1995-2003. Due to …

the elasticity of innovation with respect to the expected price of drugs should be at least as great as the elasticity of … innovation with respect to expected market size (disease incidence). I examine the cross-sectional relationship between … pharmaceutical innovation and market size among a set of diseases (different types of cancer) exhibiting substantial exogenous …

higher rates of lab and outpatient innovation had greater declines in the probability of missing work during 1996-2003. This … for initial disability, the inverse relationship between lab innovation and disability changes disappears. This is because … there is a significant inverse relationship between initial health and the extent of laboratory innovation. But due to …