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Macroeconomic dynamics near the ZLB: a tale of two equilibria

Aruoba, S. Boragan; Schorfheide, Frank - Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia - 2013

This paper studies the dynamics of a New Keynesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model near the zero lower bound (ZLB) on nominal interest rates. In addition to the standard targeted-inflation equilibrium, we consider a deflation equilibrium as well as a Markov sunspot...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010681653

Money and capital: a quantitative analysis

Aruoba, S. Boragan; Waller, Christopher J.; Wright, Randall - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2009

We study the effects of money (anticipated inflation) on capital formation. Previous papers on this topic adopt reduced …-form approaches, putting money in the utility function or imposing cash in advance, but use otherwise frictionless models. We follow a … literature that is more explicit about the frictions making money essential. This introduces several new elements, including a …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005077876

Real-time macroeconomic monitoring: real activity, inflation, and interactions

Aruoba, S. Boragan; Diebold, Francis X. - Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia - 2010

The authors sketch a framework for monitoring macroeconomic activity in real-time and push it in new directions. In particular, they focus not only on real activity, which has received most attention to date, but also on inflation and its interaction with real activity. As for the recent...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008627185

A real-time data set for macroeconomists

Croushore, Dean; Stark, Tom - Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia - 1999

This paper presents the concept and uses of a real-time data set that can be used by economists for testing the robustness of published econometric results, for analyzing policy, and for forecasting. The data set consists of vintages, or snapshots, of the major macroeconomic data available at...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005717356

Is macroeconomic research robust to alternative data sets?

Croushore, Dean; Stark, Tom - Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia - 2002

This paper uses a real-time data set to analyze data revisions and to test the robustness of published econometric results. The data set consists of vintages, or snapshots, of the major macroeconomic data available at quarterly intervals in real time. The paper illustrates why such data may...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005389555

A real-time data set for marcoeconomists: does the data vintage matter?

Croushore, Dean; Stark, Tom - Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia - 1999

This paper presents a real-time data set that can be used by economists for testing the robustness of published econometric results, for analyzing policy, and for forecasting. The data set consists of vintages, or snapshots, of the major macroeconomic data available at quarterly intervals in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005389694

When do stock market booms occur? the macroeconomic and policy environments of 20th century booms

Bordo, Michael D.; Wheelock, David C. - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2006

This paper studies the macroeconomic conditions and policy environments under which stock market booms occurred among ten developed countries during the 20th Century. We find that booms tended to occur during periods of above-average growth of real output, and below-average and falling...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005352825

Inflation, monetary policy and stock market conditions: quantitative evidence from a hybrid latent-variable VAR

Bordo, Michael D.; Dueker, Michael J.; Wheelock, David C. - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2009

This paper examines the association between inflation, monetary policy and U.S. stock market conditions during the second half of the 20th century. We use a latent-variable VAR to estimate the impact of inflation and other macroeconomic shocks on a latent index of stock market conditions. Our...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005352826

The great inflation: did the shadow know better?

Poole, William; Rasche, Robert H.; Wheelock, David C. - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2008

The Shadow Open Market Committee was formed in 1973 in response to rising inflation and the apparent unwillingness of U.S. policymakers to implement policies necessary to maintain price stability. This paper describes how the Committee's policy views differed from those of most Federal Reserve...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005352943

Monetary policy and stock market booms and busts in the 20th century

Bordo, Michael D.; Dueker, Michael J.; Wheelock, David C. - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2007

This paper examines the association between monetary policy and stock market booms and busts in the United States, United Kingdom, and Germany during the 20th century. Booms tended to arise when output growth was rapid and inflation was low, and end within a few months of an increase in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005707680