Showing 1 - 10 of 13
economic agents´ inflation expectations. Real marginal costs are proxied by three different measures. The results suggest that … OECD inflation forecasts perform relatively well as a proxy for inflation expectations in the euro area, since under this … approach the European inflation process can be modeled using the forward-looking New Keynesian Phillips curve. However …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005207149
We examine developments in national contributions to euro area M3 for a sample of nine euro area countries during 1999–2005. We investigate the co-movements of national contributions with euro area M3 and discuss possible reasons for divergencies in growth rates of national contributions....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005190777
This paper examines euro area inflation dynamics by estimating open economy New Keynesian Phillips curves based on the … survey data and OECD inflation forecasts are used to proxy inflation expectations. The results suggest that, compared with a … closed economy New Keynesian Phillips curve, euro area inflation dynamics are better captured by the open economy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005648875
in principle less restrictive approach is applied to operationalising expectations. Direct measures of inflation … expectations, ie OECD forecasts, are used as empirical proxies of economic agents’ inflation expectations. The main interest is in … the euro area as a whole, although potential heterogeneity of inflation dynamics is also examined across eleven EMU …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005648890
The dynamics of the Phillips Curve in New Keynesian, Expectations Augmented and Hybrid forms are extremely sensitive to the choice, timing and restrictions on variables. An important element of the debate revolves round what information decision-makers took into account at the time and round...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005649019
imposing rational expectations, direct measures, ie OECD forecasts, are used to proxy economic agents’ inflation expectations … Classical and Hybrid Phillips curves. We interpret our results as indicating that the European inflation process is not purely … forward-looking, so that inflation cannot instantaneously adjust to new information. Consequently, even allowing for possible …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008774211
The present study examines empirically the inflation dynamics of the euro area. The focus of the analysis is on the … role of expectations in the inflation process. In six articles we relax rationality assumption and proxy expectations … curve specifications and find evidence that inflation cannot instantaneously adjust to changes in expectations. A possible …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008774215
This paper studies the gain from using money as an indicator when monetary policy in made under data uncertainty. We use a forward and backward looking model, calibrated for the euro area. The policymaker cannot completely observe the state of the economy. Money reveals some of the private...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005207135
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003857191
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003367200