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of U.S. inflation and marginal cost turns out superior to the best-fitting conventional causal VAR model in forecasting … inflation. …
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have used for illustrative purposes, we pinned down the long-run inflation expectations and domestic and foreign potential …
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inflation and real GDP growth forecasts in the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters. For comparison, inflation forecasts in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010818991
No consensus has emerged on how to deal with overnight returns when calculating realized volatility in markets where trading does not take place 24 hours a day. This paper explores several common volatility applications, investigating how the chosen treatment of overnight returns affects the...
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