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Expectations about the future are central for determination of current macroeconomic outcomes and the formulation of monetary policy. Recent literature has explored ways for supplementing the benchmark of rational expectations with explicit models of expectations formation that rely on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005419689
This paper examines a class of interest rate rules that respond to public expectations and to lagged variables. Varying levels of commitment correspond to varying degrees of response to lagged output and targeting of the price level. If the response rises (unintentionally) above the optimal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010818976
satisfy a new central bank mandate specifying greater emphasis on inflation stabilisation. In this case, our results show that … inflation may fall dramatically before it gradually rises to its new long run level. The potential for inflation to undershoot …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010541306
In this paper, we examine the incentives for central bank activism and caution in a two-country open-economy model with uncertainty and learning. We find that the presence of a strategic interaction between the home and foreign central banks creates an additional motivation for caution in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005423715
In this paper we incorporate the term structure of interest rates into a standard inflation forecast targeting … analyse inflation forecast targeting in two environments. One in which the central bank has perfect knowledge, in the sense …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005648857
, in the sense that it understands and observes the process by which private sector inflation expectations are generated …; in the second, the central bank has to learn the private sector inflation forecasting rule. With imperfect knowledge … accommodates private sector inflation expectations) is no longer constant across the disinflation, but becomes state …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005648895
We ask the question: Does it matter whether expections on monetary policy are heterogeneous across agents in the economy? We tackle this issue with the aid of a dynamic general equilibrium model with nominal rigidities. The most important features of the model include consumption/saving...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008774221
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003857191
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003367200
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