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Croushore, Dean - Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia - 2008

This paper describes the existing research (as of February 2008) on real-time data analysis, divided into five areas: (1) data revisions; (2) forecasting; (3) monetary policy analysis; (4) macroeconomic research; and (5) current analysis of business and financial conditions. In each area,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005717345

A real-time data set for macroeconomists

Croushore, Dean; Stark, Tom - Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia - 1999

This paper presents the concept and uses of a real-time data set that can be used by economists for testing the robustness of published econometric results, for analyzing policy, and for forecasting. The data set consists of vintages, or snapshots, of the major macroeconomic data available at...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005717356

Is macroeconomic research robust to alternative data sets?

Croushore, Dean; Stark, Tom - Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia - 2002

This paper uses a real-time data set to analyze data revisions and to test the robustness of published econometric results. The data set consists of vintages, or snapshots, of the major macroeconomic data available at quarterly intervals in real time. The paper illustrates why such data may...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005389555

A real-time data set for marcoeconomists: does the data vintage matter?

Croushore, Dean; Stark, Tom - Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia - 1999

This paper presents a real-time data set that can be used by economists for testing the robustness of published econometric results, for analyzing policy, and for forecasting. The data set consists of vintages, or snapshots, of the major macroeconomic data available at quarterly intervals in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005389694

Fiscal policy: ex ante and ex post

Croushore, Dean; van Norden, Simon - Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia - 2014

The surge in fiscal deficits since 2008 has put a renewed focus on the authors’ understanding of fiscal policy. The interaction of fiscal and monetary policy during this period has also been the subject of much discussion and analysis. This paper gives new insight into past fiscal policy and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010930299

Macroeconomic rates of return of public and private investment: crowding-in and crowding-out effects

Afonso, António; St. Aubyn, Miguel - European Central Bank - 2008

macroeconomic effects of public and private investment through VAR analysis. From impulse response functions, we are able to assess … the extent of crowding-in or crowding-out of both components of investment. We also compute the associated macroeconomic … rates of return of public and private investment for each country. The results point mostly to the existence of positive …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005816187

Fiscal policy, housing and stock prices

Afonso, António; Sousa, Ricardo M. - European Central Bank - 2009

This paper investigates the link between fiscal policy shocks and movements in asset markets using a Fully Simultaneous System approach in a Bayesian framework. Building on the works of Blanchard and Perotti (2002), Leeper and Zha (2003), and Sims and Zha (1999, 2006), the empirical evidence for...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004969145

The macroeconomic effects of fiscal policy

Afonso, António; Sousa, Ricardo M. - European Central Bank - 2009

We investigate the macroeconomic effects of fiscal policy using a Bayesian Structural Vector Autoregression approach. We build on a recursive identification scheme, but we: (i) include the feedback from government debt (ii); look at the impact on the composition of output; (iii) assess the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004969173

Fiscal policy and growth: do financial crises make a difference?

Afonso, António; Grüner, Hans Peter; Kolerus, Christina - European Central Bank - 2010

In this paper we assess to what extent in the existence of a financial crisis, government spending can contribute to mitigate economic downturns in the short run and whether such impact differs in crisis and non crisis times. We use panel analysis for a set of OECD and non-OECD countries for the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008550451

Fiscal policy responsiveness, persistence and discretion

Afonso, António; Agnello, Luca; Furceri, Davide - European Central Bank - 2008

We decompose fiscal policy in three components: i) responsiveness, ii) persistence and iii) discretion. Using a sample of 132 countries, our results point out that fiscal policy tends to be more persistent than to respond to output conditions. We also found that while the effect of cross-country...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005068631