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Croushore, Dean - Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia - 2008

This paper describes the existing research (as of February 2008) on real-time data analysis, divided into five areas: (1) data revisions; (2) forecasting; (3) monetary policy analysis; (4) macroeconomic research; and (5) current analysis of business and financial conditions. In each area,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005717345

A real-time data set for macroeconomists

Croushore, Dean; Stark, Tom - Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia - 1999

This paper presents the concept and uses of a real-time data set that can be used by economists for testing the robustness of published econometric results, for analyzing policy, and for forecasting. The data set consists of vintages, or snapshots, of the major macroeconomic data available at...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005717356

Is macroeconomic research robust to alternative data sets?

Croushore, Dean; Stark, Tom - Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia - 2002

This paper uses a real-time data set to analyze data revisions and to test the robustness of published econometric results. The data set consists of vintages, or snapshots, of the major macroeconomic data available at quarterly intervals in real time. The paper illustrates why such data may...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005389555

A real-time data set for marcoeconomists: does the data vintage matter?

Croushore, Dean; Stark, Tom - Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia - 1999

This paper presents a real-time data set that can be used by economists for testing the robustness of published econometric results, for analyzing policy, and for forecasting. The data set consists of vintages, or snapshots, of the major macroeconomic data available at quarterly intervals in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005389694

Fiscal policy: ex ante and ex post

Croushore, Dean; van Norden, Simon - Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia - 2014

The surge in fiscal deficits since 2008 has put a renewed focus on the authors’ understanding of fiscal policy. The interaction of fiscal and monetary policy during this period has also been the subject of much discussion and analysis. This paper gives new insight into past fiscal policy and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010930299

Tax reform and labour-market performance in the euro area: a simulation-based analysis using the New Area-Wide Model

Coenen, Günter; McAdam, Peter; Straub, Roland - European Central Bank - 2007

In this paper, we employ a calibrated two-country version of the New Area-Wide Model (NAWM) currently under development at the European Central Bank to examine the potential benefits and spillovers of reducing labour-market distortions caused by euro area tax structures. Our analysis shows that...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005344892

Fiscal policy and the great recession in the Euro area

Coenen, Günter; Straub, Roland; Trabandt, Mathias - European Central Bank - 2012

How much did fiscal policy contribute to euro area real GDP growth during the Great Recession? We estimate that discretionary fiscal measures have increased annualized quarterly real GDP growth during the crisis by up to 1.6 percentage points. We obtain our result by using an extended version of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010541257

Fiscal consolidation in the euro area: long-run benefits and short-run costs.

Coenen, Günter; Mohr, Matthias; Straub, Roland - European Central Bank - 2008

fiscal consolidation has positive long-run effects on key macroeconomic aggregates such as output and consumption, notably …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005530882

Gauging the effects of fiscal stimulus packages in the euro area

Coenen, Günter; Straub, Roland; Trabandt, Mathias - European Central Bank - 2012

larger than one for government consumption and investment. We highlight the importance of monetary accommodation for these … government consumption and, to a lesser extent, between private and public capital. We first examine the implied present …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010686873

Does government spending crowd in private consumption? Theory and empirical evidence for the euro area

Coenen, Günter; Straub, Roland - European Central Bank - 2005

In this paper, we revisit the effects of government spending shocks on private consumption within an estimated New … presence of non-Ricardian households is in general conducive to raising the level of consumption in response to government … only a fairly small chance that government spending shocks crowd in consumption, mainly because the estimated share of non …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005222343