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The political economy under monetary union: has the euro made a difference?

Fratzscher, Marcel; Stracca, Livio - European Central Bank - 2008

Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) has transformed Europe and has created an integrated pan-European economy. Much research has focused on understanding this integration process and what benefits and costs it entails. This paper identifies a political economy channel of EMU as the monetary union...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005530784

Forecasting with a Bayesian DSGE model: an application to the euro area

Smets, Frank; Wouters, Raf - European Central Bank - 2004

In monetary policy strategies geared towards maintaining price stability conditional and unconditional forecasts of inflation and output play an important role. This paper illustrates how modern sticky-price dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models, estimated using Bayesian techniques, can...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005162894

Should we take inside money seriously?

Stracca, Livio - European Central Bank - 2007

This paper presents a dynamic general equilibrium model with sticky prices, in which "inside" money, made out of commercial banks’ liabilities, plays an active, structural role role. It is shown that, in such a model, an inside money shock has a well-defined meaning. A calibrated version of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005344903

Dynamics and monetary policy in a fair wage model of the business cycle

de la Croix, David; de Walque, Gregory; Wouters, Raf - European Central Bank - 2007

We first build a fair wage model in which effort varies over the business cycle. This mechanism decreases the need for other sources of sluggishness to explain the observed high inflation persistence. Second, we confront empirically our fair wage model with a New Keynesian model based on the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005344951

Sequential bargaining in a new-Keynesian model with frictional unemployment and staggered wage negotiation

de Walque, Gregory; Pierrard, Olivier; Sneessens, Henri; … - European Central Bank - 2009

We consider a model with frictional unemployment and staggered wage bargaining where hours worked are negotiated every period. The workers’ bargaining power in the hours negotiation affects both unemployment volatility and inflation persistence. The closer to zero this parameter, (i) the more...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005002791

Housing finance and monetary policy

Calza, Alessandro; Stracca, Livio; Monacelli, Tommaso - European Central Bank - 2009

We study how the structure of housing finance affects the transmission of monetary policy shocks. We document three main facts: first, the features of residential mortgage markets differ markedly across industrialized countries; second, and ac- cording to a wide range of indicators, the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005002805

An estimated stochastic dynamic general equilibrium model of the euro area

Smets, Frank; Wouters, Raf - European Central Bank - 2002

This paper develops and estimates a stochastic dynamic general equilibrium (SDGE) model with sticky prices and wages for the euro area. The model incorporates various other features such as habit formation, costs of adjustment in capital accumulation and variable capacity utilisation. It is...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005222316

Shocks and frictions in US business cycles: a Bayesian DSGE approach

Smets, Frank; Wouters, Raf - European Central Bank - 2007

Using a Bayesian likelihood approach, we estimate a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model for the US economy using seven macro-economic time series. The model incorporates many types of real and nominal frictions and seven types of structural shocks. We show that this model is able to...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005222323

How does the ECB allot liquidity in its weekly main refinancing operations? A look at the empirical evidence

Stracca, Livio; Ejerskov, Steen; Martin Moss, Clara - European Central Bank - 2003

This model provides a simple weekly model of the regular supply of liquidity in the euro area, with a view to … understanding the functioning of the euro area money market. The main result of the analysis is that liquidity has normally been … deviations of the overnight rate from the main refinancing rate. Moreover, the paper finds that liquidity has affected the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005222340

What is global excess liquidity, and does it matter?

Rüffer, Rasmus; Stracca, Livio - European Central Bank - 2006

liquidity”, a concept which has attracted considerable attention in recent years. The contribution of this paper is threefold …. First, we present some conceptual discussion on the meaning of excess liquidity in advanced countries with developed … excess liquidity and spill-overs between them for a relatively large sample of industrialised and developing countries. Third …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005816250