Showing 1 - 10 of 11
variable selection and estimation in one step. We evaluate the forecasting accuracy of these estimators for a large set of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010851261
This paper applies three universal approximators for forecasting. They are the Artificial Neural Networks, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005012487
This paper consider penalized empirical loss minimization of convex loss functions with unknown non-linear target functions. Using the elastic net penalty we establish a finite sample oracle inequality which bounds the loss of our estimator from above with high probability. If the unknown target...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010851265
While variable selection and oracle inequalities for the estimation and prediction error have received considerable attention in the literature on high-dimensional models, very little work has been done in the area of testing and construction of confidence bands in high-dimensional models....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010939345
In this work we consider forecasting macroeconomic variables dur- ing an economic crisis. The focus is on a specific … on forecasting during the economic crisis 2007-2009. Forecast accuracy is measured by the root mean square forecast error …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009283381
In this paper we consider the forecasting performance of a well-defined class of flexible models, the so-called single … flexibility, are as useful tools in economic forecasting as some previous studies have indicated. When forecasting with neural …. Second, one must decide whether forecasting should be carried out recursively or directly. Comparisons of these two methodss …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009277000
this purpose is mentioned as well. Forecasting with complex dynamic systems, albeit less frequently applied to economic … forecasting problems, is briefly highlighted. A number of large published studies comparing macroeconomic forecasts obtained using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008556269
This paper is concerned with high-dimensional panel data models where the number of regressors can be much larger than the sample size. Under the assumption that the true parameter vector is sparse we establish finite sample upper bounds on the estimation error of the Lasso under two different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010851282
This paper generalizes the results for the Bridge estimator of Huang et al. (2008) to linear random and fixed effects panel data models which are allowed to grow in both dimensions. In particular, we show that the Bridge estimator is oracle efficient. It can correctly distinguish between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008525438
We propose a new estimator, the thresholded scaled Lasso, in high dimensional threshold regressions. First, we establish an upper bound on the sup-norm estimation error of the scaled Lasso estimator of Lee et al. (2012). This is a non-trivial task as the literature on highdimensional models has...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011168920