Showing 1 - 8 of 8
-form) properties of the economy. Based on estimated models for the Great Inflation and the most recent period, I show that, as a … played by monetary policy in exacerbating the Great Depression, causing the Great Inflation, or fostering the Great …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008516221
hypothesis, and study the relative merits of changes in structure and shocks for reproducing the conquest of the Great Inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010686778
striking negative correlation between the evolution of the long-run coefficient on inflation in the monetary rule and the … evolution of the persistence and predictability of inflation relative to a trend component. Using a standard sticky-price model …, we show that a more aggressive policy stance towards inflation causes a decline in inflation predictability, providing a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005530829
1970s’ United States would not have prevented the Great Inflation. We show that a standard policy counterfactual suggests … that the Bundesbank–which is near-universally credited for sparing West Germany the Great Inflation–would also not have … been able to prevent the Great Inflation in the United States. The sheer implausibility of this result sounds a cautionary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008558915
linked to the monetary policy regime. Before and after the "Great Inflation", nominal wages moved in the same direction as … the (required) adjustment of real wages, and in the opposite direction of the price response. During the "Great Inflation … increasing inflation volatility. Using a standard DSGE model, we show that these stylized facts, in particular the estimated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008560374
We characterise the evolution of the U.S. unemployment-inflation trade-off since the late XIX century era via a … Bayesian time-varying parameters structural VAR. The Great Inflation episode appears as historically unique along several … inflation and unemployment’s deviations from equilibrium–was, during those years, clearly out of line with respect to the rest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008476130
We use a Bayesian time-varying parameters structural VAR with stochastic volatility for GDP deflator inflation, real … Inflation was due, to a dominant extent, to large demand non-policy shocks, and to a lesser extent–especially in 1973 and 1979 … difference in terms of inflation and output growth outcomes; and (3)mechanically ‘bringing the Monetary Policy Committee vback in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005344917
deflator inflation, real GDP growth, and the rate of growth of M2. We identify 4 shocks–monetary policy, demand non …, with (e.g.) significant increases in the long-run coefficients on inflation and money growth around the time of the Volcker … macroeconomic environment of the last two decades. First, the Great Inflation was due, to a dominant extent, to large demand non …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005222388