Under inflation targeting inflation exhibits negative serial correlation in the United Kingdom, and little or no …, inflation appears to be (nearly) purely forward-looking, so that no mechanism introducing backward-looking components is … necessary to fit the data. These results question the notion that the intrinsic inflation persistence found in post-WWII U …

This paper assumes that a central bank commits itself to maintaining an inflation target and then asks what measure of … the inflation rate the central bank should use if it wants to maximize economic stability. The paper first formalizes this …

announcing a quantified inflation objective, other forms of communication, or by publishing central banks’ inflation and output … (economic) transparency, and given our findings that disagreement among inflation expectations in the general public is not …

This paper first shows that the forecast error incurred when assuming that future inflation will be equal to the … inflation target announced by the central bank is typically at least as small and often smaller than forecast errors of model …-based and published inflation forecasts. It then shows that there are substantial benefits in having rule-of-thumb agents who …

credibility a pegged exchange rate regime yields a lower loss compared to an inflation targeting policy, even if this policy … for a policy-maker to adopt inflation targeting over a strict exchange rate targeting regime. Full credibility is not a … precondition, but exposure to foreign and financial shocks and high steady state inflation make joining the EMU relatively more …

-term interest rates to the Bank of England’s inflation report andto macroeconomic announcements. Due to the quarterly frequency at …, the more timehas elapsed since the latest release of an inflation report, market volatility shouldincrease, the price …

non-atomistic unions. It is shown that concentrated labor markets call for more aggressive inflation stabilization. This …

assumptions on the functional correspondence between price inflation, inflation expectations and marginal costs. Expectations are … not assumed to be an unbiased predictor of actual inflation and instead derived from the European Commission’s Consumer … Survey data. The results suggest that expectations drive inflation with a lag of about 6 months, which casts further doubt on …