Showing 1 - 10 of 86
Under inflation targeting inflation exhibits negative serial correlation in the United Kingdom, and little or no …, inflation appears to be (nearly) purely forward-looking, so that no mechanism introducing backward-looking components is … necessary to fit the data. These results question the notion that the intrinsic inflation persistence found in post-WWII U …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005222390
This paper assumes that a central bank commits itself to maintaining an inflation target and then asks what measure of … the inflation rate the central bank should use if it wants to maximize economic stability. The paper first formalizes this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005344841
Inflation has been well contained over the last decades in most industrialized countries. This implies, however, that … memories of high inflation are likely to fade, because over time larger parts of the population have never experienced high … inflation, whereas those who have might forget. This paper tests whether memories of high inflation affect agents’ preferences …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008631546
announcing a quantified inflation objective, other forms of communication, or by publishing central banks’ inflation and output … (economic) transparency, and given our findings that disagreement among inflation expectations in the general public is not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008545908
This paper attempts at characterising South Korean monetary policy in the period of explicit inflation targeting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005002789
“Forecast targeting,” forward-looking monetary policy that uses central-bank judgment to construct optimal policy projections of the target variables and the instrument rate, may perform substantially better than monetary policy that disregards judgment and follows a given instrument rule....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005162896
The paper studies the inflation rate associated with optimal monetary and fiscal policy in a number of standard dynamic …, optimal inflation policy requires the validation, that is, the full accommodation of core producer inflation by actual … producer price inflation;(2) Optimal monetary policy implements Bailey-Friedman optimal quantity of money rule. No welfare …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005530728
countries with low inflation, the raw relationship between average inflation and the growth rate of money is tenuous at best … elasticities implied by theories of Baumol-Tobin and Miller-Orr. Finally, the sample after 1990 shows considerably less inflation … variability, worsening the fit of a one-for-one relationship between money growth and inflation, and generates a fairly low …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010709525
This paper first shows that the forecast error incurred when assuming that future inflation will be equal to the … inflation target announced by the central bank is typically at least as small and often smaller than forecast errors of model …-based and published inflation forecasts. It then shows that there are substantial benefits in having rule-of-thumb agents who …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005222363
credibility a pegged exchange rate regime yields a lower loss compared to an inflation targeting policy, even if this policy … for a policy-maker to adopt inflation targeting over a strict exchange rate targeting regime. Full credibility is not a … precondition, but exposure to foreign and financial shocks and high steady state inflation make joining the EMU relatively more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005222375