Showing 1 - 10 of 85
JEL Classification: E52, E61, E31, E42, E43
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005530707
's ability to form realistic inflation expectations. JEL Classification: D12, D84, E52, E58 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008694054
relationship between inflation and inflation expectations in the euro area. We use theoretical structures based on the New … stability, a few years where inflation was driven mainly by external shocks, and the financial crisis, where the New Keynesian … expectations on inflation and a resurgence of the “sacrifice ratio”. JEL Classification: E31, C53, C11 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010686766
This paper analyses price formation in medium- to longer-term maturity segments of euro area and US inflation … anchoring of inflation expectations in the two currency areas before and during the crisis. We find a somewhat stronger … anchoring of inflation expectations in the euro area than in the United States. During the crisis, the degree of anchoring of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011067251
This paper uses survey data to assess consumers' inflation expectations in the euro area. The probability approach is … used to derive quantitative estimates of inflation expectations from the European Commission's Consumer Survey. The paper … subsequently analyses the empirical properties of the estimated inflation expectations by considering the extent to which they …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005530749
A crucial but often ignored element of inflation expectations is the amount of perceived inflation risk. This paper …) using a new methodology. The main conclusion from our analysis is that, when monitoring inflation expectations, limiting … attention to a point prediction is not sufficient. The analysis of inflation expectations should take into account inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005227541
professional forecasters from four major European economies. Our estimates imply that inflation expectations in France, Germany and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005222380
The aim of this study is to assess empirically to what extent the degree of heterogeneity of consumers’ inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005049560
We find evidence that adopting an explicit inflation objective plays a role in anchoring long-run inflation … expectations and in reducing the intrinsic persistence of inflation. For the period 1994-2003, private-sector long-run inflation … forecasts exhibit significant correlation with lagged inflation for a number of industrial economies, including the United …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005079098
The model presented here is a New estimated medium-scale Multi-Country Model (NMCM) which covers the five largest euro area countries and is used for forecasting and scenarios analysis at the European Central Bank. The model has a tight theoretical structure which allows for non-unitary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008922896