We build a balance sheet-based model to capture run risk, i.e., a reduced potential to raise capital from liquidity buffers under stress, driven by depositor scrutiny and further fuelled by fire sales in response to withdrawals. The setup is inspired by the Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) meltdown in...

This paper studies a banking model of maturity transformation in which regulatory arbitrage induces the coexistence of regulated commercial banks and unregulated shadow banks. We derive three main results: First, the relative size of the shadow banking sector determines the stability of the...

This paper links granular data of financial institutions to global macroeconomic variables using an infinite-dimensional vector autoregressive (IVAR) model framework. The approach taken allows for an assessment of the two-way links between the financial system and the macroeconomy, while...

This book is a collection of the proceedings of the ECB Legal Conference "From Monetary Union to Banking Union, on the way to Capital Markets Union: new opportunities for European integration", hosted by the European Central Bank on 1 and 2 September 2015. One of the main objectives of this...

The decrease of financial integration both at the global and European level reflects, to a certain extent, a market response to the crisis. It might, however, also be partly driven by policies such as capital flow management measures (CFMs). In addition, several other measures taken by central...

This European Central Bank (ECB) publication - Stress Test Analytics for Macroprudential Purposes in the euro area (STAMP€) - offers a suite of analytical tools for those interested in stress-testing frameworks and has been developed by ECB staff over the past few years.

Using a new series of crypto shocks, we document that money market funds' (MMF) assets under management, and traditional financial market variables more broadly, do not react to crypto shocks, whereas stablecoin market capitalization does. U.S. monetary policy shocks, in contrast, drive...

A financial stress index for the United States is introduced -an index that was used in real time by the staff of the Federal Reserve Board to monitor the financial crisis of 2008-9 and the interaction with real activity, inflation and monetary policy is demonstrated using a richly parameterized...