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This volume contains a collection of papers, commentaries and speeches concerning the first decade of the euro and the recent global financial crisis.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009209885
A striking and unexpected feature of the financial crisis has been the sharpappreciation of the US dollar against virtually all currencies globally. The paper findsthat negative US-specific macroeconomic shocks during the crisis have triggered asignificant strengthening of the US dollar, rather...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005866568
This volume contains a collection of papers, commentaries and speeches that review the strategic and operational decisions taken by the central banks to combat the crisis and that reflect on the lessons for the future. The contributions are grouped around five broad topics: monetary policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009209883
This volume contains a collection of papers, commentaries and speeches that review the strategic and operational decisions taken by the central banks to combat the crisis and that reflect on the lessons for the future. The contributions are grouped around five broad topics: monetary policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009209884
This paper models volatility spillovers from mature to emerging stock markets, tests for changes in the transmission mechanism during turbulences in mature markets, and examines the implications for conditional correlations between mature and emerging market returns. Tri-variate GARCH-BEKK...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008458415
forecasting euro area manufacturing production. Following Boivin and Ng (2006), the emphasis is put on the role of dataset …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005344872
content and its potential use for fiscal forecasting and monitoring purposes. The models are estimated with annual and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005344878
Economic policy makers, international organisations and private-sector forecasters commonly use short-term forecasts of real GDP growth based on monthly indicators, such as industrial production, retail sales and confidence surveys. An assessment of the reliability of such tools and of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005344945
This paper reviews the main instruments and associated yield curves that can be used to measure financial market participants’ expectations of future UK monetary policy rates. We attempt to evaluate these instruments and curves in terms of their ability to forecast policy rates over the period...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005344961
forecasting power of these models for the Japanese economy. In this paper, we aim at assessing the relative performance of factor …. For most of the components, we report that factor models yield lower forecasting errors than a simple AR process or an … improvements in terms of forecasting accuracy are found for more volatile periods, such as the recent financial crisis. However …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010538810