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sector, four sub-sectors and twelve service sector branches. Recently, both Europe and the US have experienced an increase in … the growth of service jobs in Europe relative to the US persists. Understanding the main factors behind this gap is key to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005344854
There has been much discussion of the differences in macroeconomic performance and prospects between the US, Japan and …, date business-cycle turning points. Despite a high degree of trade and financial linkages, the cyclical features of US …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005344860
This paper provides empirical evidence on the role played by loan supply shocks over the business cycle in the Euro Area, the United Kingdom and the United States from 1980 to 2010 by applying a time-varying parameters VAR model with stochastic volatility and identifying these shocks with sign...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010686799
Indices (PMI) in anticipating US real economic activity. We conduct a fully-fledged real-time out-ofsample forecasting … exercise linking these surveys to US GDP and industrial production growth over a long sample period. We find that both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010686826
The paper analyses and compares the role that the tightening in liquidity conditions and the collapse in risk appetite played for the global transmission of the financial crisis. Dealing with identification and the large dimensionality of the empirical exercise with a Global VAR approach, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008784826
consumption and investment growth up to 4 quarters ahead in the US and the euro area. Our findings are that the predictive content …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009024968
JEL Classification: F36, G15
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005222331
How do financial markets price new information? This paper analyzes price setting atthe intersection of private and public information, by testing whether and how thereaction of financial markets to public signals depends on the relative importance ofprivate information in agents’ information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005866483
While consumption habits have been utilised as a means of generating a hump shapedoutput response to monetary policy shocks in sticky-price New Keynesian economies,there is relatively little analysis of the impact of habits (particularly, external habits) onoptimal policy. In this paper we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005866485
We find evidence of a bank lending channel for the euro area operating via bank risk.Financial innovation and the new ways to transfer credit risk have tended to diminishthe informational content of standard bank balance-sheet indicators. We show thatbank risk conditions, as perceived by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005866486