financial market volatility after FOMC meetings. Finally, Fed communication may exert an influence on forecast accuracy. JEL …The paper shows that there is a substantial degree of heterogeneity in forecast accuracy among Fed watchers. Based on a … novel database for 268 professional forecasters since 1999, the average forecast error of FOMC decisions varies 5 to 10 …

countries, we find remarkable differences in forecast accuracy, and show that they are partly related to geography and … involving multiple central banking traditions. How does this heterogeneity affect the ability of economic agents to understand … banking in the past. In large part this heterogeneity can be traced to differences in forecasting models. While some …

The paper shows that central bank communication is a key determinant of the market’s ability to anticipate monetary … policy decisions and the future path of interest rates. Comparing communication policies by the Federal Reserve, the Bank of … is sizeable, accounting for instance for one third to half of the prediction errors of FOMC policy decisions. By contrast …

FOMC decisions as well as the future policy path. Second, the effectiveness of communication is found to depend on the … Svensson (2006). First, the paper finds that the precision of communication is a key determinant of the predictability of both … communication to be flexible and adjust to market conditions in order for central banks to achieve their ultimate objectives. JEL …

The paper assesses the communication strategies of the Federal Reserve, the Bank of England and the European Central … Bank and their effectiveness. We find that the effectiveness of communication is not independent from the decisionmaking … process in the committee. The paper shows that the Federal Reserve has been pursuing a rather individualistic communication …

Despite substantial differences in monetary policy and communication strategies, many central banks share the practice … of purdah, a self-imposed guideline of abstaining from communication around policy meetings or other important events … information precisely when it is sought after intensely. However, imposing such a limit to communication has often been justified …