Showing 1 - 10 of 15
spot prices, although only in the short run. Moreover, financial activity appears to have exacerbated the volatility in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009643616
In this paper we examine linkages across non-energy commodity price developments by means of a factor-augmented VAR model (FAVAR). From a set of non-energy commodity price series, we extract two factors, which we identify as common trends in metals and a food prices. These factors are included...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008476127
This paper investigates whether the real oil price has an impact on the real exchange rates of three main oil-exporting countries: Norway, Russia and Saudi Arabia. We create our measure of the real effective exchange rates for Norway and Saudi Arabia (1980-2006) and for Russia (1995-2006),...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005530806
Global monetary conditions have often been cited as a driving factor of commodity prices. This paper investigates the empirical relationship between US monetary policy and commodity prices by means of a standard VAR system, commonly used in analysing the effects of monetary policy shocks. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008606497
We present a general equilibrium model of the global oil market, in which the oil price, oil production, and consumption, are jointly determined as outcomes of the optimizing decisions of oil importers and oil exporters. On the supply side the oil market is modelled as a dominant firm – Saudi...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009149025
This paper investigates the pass-through of external shocks, i.e. oil price shocks, exchange rate shocks, and non-oil import price shocks to euro area inflation at different stages of distribution (import prices, producer prices and consumer prices). The analysis is based on a VAR model that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005222290
I analyze output growth, volatility, and skewness as the joint outcomes of financial openness. Using an industry panel …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009276057
filtered using EGARCH specifications. The estimation results show that upgrades do not have significant effects on volatility …, but downgrades increase stock and bond market volatility. Contagion is present, with sovereign rating announcements … (increase) in volatility in other countries. The empirical results show also a financial gain and risk (value-at-risk) reduction …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010753741
This paper empirically analyzes the political, institutional and economic sources of public deficit volatility. Using … show that higher public deficit volatility is typically associated with higher levels of political instability and less … democracy. In addition, public deficit volatility tends to be magnified for small countries, in the outcome of hyper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005002762
and their implementation, payment systems and private market structures) and its implications for intraday volatility …, quoting activity, trading volume and bid-ask spreads in the overnight deposit segment. Volatility and spreads increase right … volatility and no signs of market power or adverse selection. Spreads and volatility were high at the end of the reserve …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005530814