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How has CDO market pricing changed during the turmoil? Evidence from CDS index tranches

Scheicher, Martin - European Central Bank - 2008

This paper applies regression analysis to investigate the fundamental factors of the variation of CDS index tranches. The sample comprises daily data on the tranche premia of the European iTraxx and North American CDX index from the start of the market in summer 2004 to January 2008. I estimate...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005222351

Interest rates and output in the long-run

Aksoy, Yunus; León-Ledesma, Miguel A. - European Central Bank - 2005

In this paper we argue that both statistics and economic theory-based evidence largely indicate the absence of long run relationships between the real output and the most relevant monetary indicator for the U.K. and the U.S, short term interest rates. These findings are not only a full sample...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005530909

Fair value accounting and financial stability

Enria, Andrea; Cappiello, Lorenzo; Dierick, Frank; … - European Central Bank - 2004

Accounting standard setters are considering the wider use of fair value accounting. This paper focuses on the financial … stability implications of a move in the banking sector from the current accounting framework to full fair value accounting. A … application of fair value accounting to banks’ trading book has impacted their share price volatility. It is concluded that the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005530668

Modelling short-term interest rate spreads in the euro money market

Cassola, Nuno; Morana, Claudio - European Central Bank - 2008

In the framework of a new money market econometric model, we assess the degree of precision achieved by the European Central Bank ECB) in meeting its operational target for the short-term interest rate and the impact of the U.S. sub-prime credit crisis on the euro money market during the second...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005344818

Global macro-financial shocks and expected default frequencies in the euro area

Castrén, Olli; Dées, Stéphane; Zaher, Fadi - European Central Bank - 2008

Modelling the link between the global macro-financial factors and firms’ default probabilities constitutes an elementary part of financial sector stress-testing frameworks. Using the Global Vector Autoregressive(GVAR) model and constructing a linking satellite equation for the firm-level...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005344829

Interbank lending, credit risk premia and collateral

Heider, Florian; Hoerova, Marie - European Central Bank - 2009

We study the functioning of secured and unsecured inter-bank markets in the presence of credit risk. The model generates empirical predictions that are in line with developments during the 2007-2009 financial crises. Interest rates decouple across secured and unsecured markets following an...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008549311

The term structure of risk premia: new evidence from the financial crisis

Berg, Tobias - European Central Bank - 2010

This study calibrates the term structure of risk premia before and during the 2007/2008 financial crisis using a new calibration approach based on credit default swaps. The risk premium term structure was flat before the crisis and downward sloping during the crisis. The instantaneous risk...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008478976

An economic capital model integrating credit and interest rate risk in the banking book

Alessandri, Piergiorgio; Drehmann, Mathias - European Central Bank - 2009

Banks typically determine their capital levels by separately analysing credit and interest rate risk, but the interaction between the two is significant and potentially complex. We develop an integrated economic capital model for a banking book where all exposures are held to maturity. Our...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005002780

Determinants of euro term structure of credit spreads

Van Landschoot, Astrid - European Central Bank - 2004

In this paper, we investigate the determinants of the Euro term structure of credit spreads. More specifically, we analyze whether the sensitivity of credit spread changes to financial and macroeconomic variables depends on bond characteristics such as rating and maturity. According to the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005530906

Market discipline, financial integration and fiscal rules: what drives spreads in the euro area government bond market?

Manganelli, Simone; Wolswijk, Guido - European Central Bank - 2007

This paper studies the determinants of interest rate spreads of euro area 10 year government bonds against the benchmark, the German bund, after the introduction of the euro. In particular, it pays attention to the question whether market discipline is advanced or obstructed by financial...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005530932