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This paper provides new evidence on the behaviour of euro area aggregate loans to the private sector. Using a sample covering the last twenty years, a cointegrating vector linking the real stock of loans to a small set of domestic macroeconomic variables is found. Besides real GDP and prices,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005344909
This paper investigates whether output and inflation respond asymmetrically to credit shocks in the euro area. The … effects related to credit conditions in the economy. Consistent with this finding, the impulse responses show some signs of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005816303
, (ii) credit supply and (iii) housing demand shocks on the housing market and the broader economy. We find that … clearcut for housing demand shocks. We also find that credit supply shocks matter more in the euro area. JEL Classification: E …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008541287
macroprudential policy is represented by a convex dependence of bank capital requirements on the quantity of uncollateralized credit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010686763
In this paper we attempt to evaluate the quantitative impact of financial shocks on key indicators of real activity and financial conditions. We focus on financial shocks as they have received wide attention in the recent literature and in the policy debate after the global financial crisis. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010686798
The rapid increase in credit in an economy is now commonly perceived to be one of the leading indicators of financial … policy response has been to focus on the ratio of private sector credit to GDP for an economy, observing, in particular …-state relationship between private sector credit and GDP in the case of Ireland, a country which, even by international standards …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010686848
We evaluate the ECB’s monetary policy strategy against the underlying economic structure of the euro area economy, in normal times and in times of severe financial dislocations. We show that in the years preceding the financial crisis that started in 2007 the strategy was successful at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009002548
restrictions and the credit spread as a threshold variable using the example of the Czech Republic. We find that while there is no … to differ in low and high credit spread regimes. Responses in the opposite direction (i.e. from the financial sector to … the real economy) are procyclical and similar irrespective of regime. A positive shock to credit and a negative shock to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011067268
capita output growth, the credit cycle, the stock of inward foreign direct investment (FDI) and the current account balance … development of the credit to GDP ratio. JEL Classification: F3, F4, F5 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005222353
increase not only with the output gap, but also with the credit spread and thenominal interest rate. Second, we find that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005866631