We find evidence of a bank lending channel for the euro area operating via bank risk. Financial innovation and the new … ways to transfer credit risk have tended to diminish the informational content of standard bank balance-sheet indicators …. We show that bank risk conditions, as perceived by financial market investors, need to be considered, together with the …

situation poses to price stability. We propose to regard the central banker as a risk manager who aims to contain inflation … within pre-specified bounds. We develop formal tools of risk management that may be used to quantify and forecast the risks … of failing to attain that objective. We illustrate the use of these risk measures in practice. First, we show how to …

finds that common shocks – key crisis events as well as changes to global liquidity and risk – have exerted a large effect …, country risk and the strength of domestic macroeconomic fundamentals. Comparing and quantifying these effects shows that …