Showing 1 - 10 of 262
Under inflation targeting inflation exhibits negative serial correlation in the United Kingdom, and little or no …, inflation appears to be (nearly) purely forward-looking, so that no mechanism introducing backward-looking components is … necessary to fit the data. These results question the notion that the intrinsic inflation persistence found in post-WWII U …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005222390
This paper assumes that a central bank commits itself to maintaining an inflation target and then asks what measure of … the inflation rate the central bank should use if it wants to maximize economic stability. The paper first formalizes this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005344841
announcing a quantified inflation objective, other forms of communication, or by publishing central banks’ inflation and output … (economic) transparency, and given our findings that disagreement among inflation expectations in the general public is not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008545908
This paper first shows that the forecast error incurred when assuming that future inflation will be equal to the … inflation target announced by the central bank is typically at least as small and often smaller than forecast errors of model …-based and published inflation forecasts. It then shows that there are substantial benefits in having rule-of-thumb agents who …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005222363
credibility a pegged exchange rate regime yields a lower loss compared to an inflation targeting policy, even if this policy … for a policy-maker to adopt inflation targeting over a strict exchange rate targeting regime. Full credibility is not a … precondition, but exposure to foreign and financial shocks and high steady state inflation make joining the EMU relatively more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005222375
The paper shows that monetary policy shocks exert a substantial effect on the size and composition of capital flows and the trade balance for the United States, with a 100 basis point easing raising net capital inflows and lowering the trade balance by 1% of GDP, and explaining about 20-25% of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008502697
house price inflation, strong private debt growth and low credit risk spreads. The results suggest that (i) monetary policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008476125
conclusion of the paper is that globalisation may have played only a limited role in reducing inflation and output volatility in … inflation targeting and currency peg monetary regimes; and the transformation of financial market microstructure. The paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005034283
This paper studies the wealth channel in China. Using the structural vector autoregression method, we find that a loosening of China’s monetary policy indeed leads to higher asset prices, which in turn are linked to household consumption. However, the importance of the wealth channel as a part...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008642630
Inflation has been well contained over the last decades in most industrialized countries. This implies, however, that … memories of high inflation are likely to fade, because over time larger parts of the population have never experienced high … inflation, whereas those who have might forget. This paper tests whether memories of high inflation affect agents’ preferences …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008631546