A financial stress index for the United States is introduced – an index that was used in real time by the staff of the Federal Reserve Board to monitor the financial crisis of 2008-9 – and the interaction with real activity, inflation and monetary policy is demonstrated using a richly...

This paper analyses the importance of common factors in shaping non-fuel commodityprice movements for the period 1957-2008. For this purpose, a dynamic factor modelis estimated using Kalman Filtering techniques. Based on this set-up we are able toseparate common and idiosyncratic developments of...

Amid the recent commodity price gyrations, policy makers have become increasinglyconcerned in assessing to what extent oil and food price shocks transmit to theinflationary outlook and the real economy. In this paper, we try to tackle this issue bymeans of a Global Vector Autoregressive (GVAR)...

In this paper we analyse in a mark-up framework the pass-through of commodity price and exchange rate shocks to the main components of producer and consumer prices. Thereby we link movements in prices at the different production stages as firms set their prices as a mark-up over production...

In this paper we examine linkages across non-energy commodity price developments by means of a factor-augmented VAR model (FAVAR). From a set of non-energy commodity price series, we extract two factors, which we identify as common trends in metals and a food prices. These factors are included...

This paper analyses the importance of common factors in shaping non-fuel commodity price movements for the period 1957-2008. For this purpose, a dynamic factor model is estimated using Kalman Filtering techniques. Based on this set-up we are able to separate common and idiosyncratic developments...

Amid the recent commodity price gyrations, policy makers have become increasingly concerned in assessing to what extent oil and food price shocks transmit to the inflationary outlook and the real economy. In this paper, we try to tackle this issue by means of a Global Vector Autoregressive...