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stance. When decomposing the VIX into two components, a proxy for risk aversion and expected stock market volatility … (“uncertainty”), we find that a lax monetary policy decreases both risk aversion and uncertainty, with the former effect being …. The effect of monetary policy on risk aversion is also apparent in regressions using high frequency data. JEL …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010686747
shock affecting only one country. Efficient global risk-sharing imply that expected productivity gains in one country will … international equity transactions that accentuate the role of international risk sharing as a factor for the macroeconomic response … for the productivity gains can further increase the risk exposure of foreign shareholders. The model is calibrated to show …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005344850
This note looks at US$ and DM/Euro denominated government bond spreads relative to US and German benchmark bonds before … and after the start of the current financial crisis. The study finds, first, that bond yield spreads before and during the …-benchmark bonds due to higher general risk aversion, and German bonds obtained a safe-haven investment status similar to that of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008541290
Implied volatility indices should have information about risk parameters, once they are cleansed of the influence of …, we uncover unobserved risk aversion and fundamental uncertainty from the observed time series of the VIX and the credit … amount of information regarding risk aversion whereas credit spreads have a lot to say about both risk aversion and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005002796
In this paper we study the impact of shocks to global risk and global risk aversion (such as Lehman) as well as shocks … securities which are consistently safe haven assets, namely experiencing portfolio inflows when risk is on the rise or perceived … in certain risk measures. We also find that the role of US-based crises and risk shocks is special, with the US not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010709541
We decompose the squared VIX index, derived from US S&P500; options prices, into the conditional variance of stock returns and the equity variance premium. We evaluate a plethora of state-of-the-art volatility forecasting models to produce an accurate measure of the conditional variance. We then...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011067211
volatility risk, for dollar, euro and pound rates at a daily frequency, between October 1998 and August 2006. The measurement of … the volatility risk premium rests on a simple model according to which variance forecasts are generated under the … large - negative - compensation for volatility risk, a component which was smaller in absolute terms - but not relative to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005816283
We study empirically the macroeconomic effects of an explicit de jure quantitative goal for monetary policy. Quantitative goals take three forms: exchange rates, money growth rates, and inflation targets. We analyze the effects on inflation of both having a quantitative target, and of hitting a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005344838
We show how on-the-job search and the propagation of shocks to the economy are intricately linked. Rising search by employed workers in a boom amplifies the incentives of firms to post vacancies. In turn, more vacancies increases job search. By keeping job creation costs low for firms,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005344958
In this paper, we highlight the role of global value chains in the synchronization of economic activity between countries in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) and the euro area. We start off by demonstrating that the degree of synchronization of the business cycles of CEE countries and their main...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010753732